BEST COUNTRIES FORECAST (beta test)

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• Italy (nation)
• Italy (regions overview)
• Italy (regions single)
• Italy (regions forecast) beta test
• Italy (province overview)
• Best 20 countries (overview)
• Best 20 countries (single)
• Best 20 countries (forecast) beta test
• Continents (overview)
• Continents (single)

Also on this website:

• Italy & World map
• World real time data and map

FIRST ENTRY DATE: 2020-01-22
LAST  ENTRY DATE: 2020-06-04
COVERAGE: 134 days
CURRENT DATE IS: 2020-06-06 21:24:51

['Bangladesh', 'Belarus', 'Belgium', 'Brazil', 'Canada', 'Chile', 'China', 'Ecuador', 'France', 'Germany', 'India', 'Iran', 'Italy', 'Mexico', 'Netherlands', 'Pakistan', 'Peru', 'Qatar', 'Russia', 'Saudi Arabia', 'Spain', 'Sweden', 'Turkey', 'US', 'United Kingdom']

For each country, to perform curve fitting, we will guess initial parameters $p_0$ of gaussian curve

$$ f(t) = a \mathbf{e}^{ -(x - b)^2 / c^2 } $$

as

$$a_0 = \mathbf{P}_{87.5}(y_{>0})$$$$b_0 = \mathbf{i}_{\mathbf{max}}(y)$$$$c_0 = \frac{4}{\sqrt{2}} b_0$$

where $\mathbf{P}_{n}(a_{>0})$ is the $n^{th}$ percentile of array $a$, where $a_{i}>0$

$\mathbf{i}_{\mathbf{max}}(a)$ is the index of maximum element in $a = (a_0, a_1 .. a_n)$

and $y$ is the array of gathered rough data.

COUNTRIES:

• Bangladesh
• Belarus
• Belgium
• Brazil
• Canada
• Chile
• China
• Ecuador
• France
• Germany
• India
• Iran
• Italy
• Mexico
• Netherlands
• Pakistan
• Peru
• Qatar
• Russia
• Saudi Arabia
• Spain
• Sweden
• Turkey
• US
• United Kingdom

Bangladesh

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=1765.12, b0=131.00, c0=30.88
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=7435.23 \pm 3765.16$

$\displaystyle b=191.10 \pm 22.24$

$\displaystyle c=57.29 \pm 8.37$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=22.00, b0=129.00, c0=27.03
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=22.00 \pm 11.00$

$\displaystyle b=129.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=27.03 \pm 1.00$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=502.62, b0=101.00, c0=21.69
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=566.12 \pm 116.14$

$\displaystyle b=140.32 \pm 10.67$

$\displaystyle c=32.51 \pm 7.42$

---

Belarus

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=946.62, b0=88.00, c0=22.82
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1020.56 \pm 24.46$

$\displaystyle b=114.04 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=32.47 \pm 1.46$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=5.00, b0=110.00, c0=19.30
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5.11 \pm 0.14$

$\displaystyle b=116.70 \pm 1.96$

$\displaystyle c=39.55 \pm 2.52$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=699.38, b0=133.00, c0=31.00
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=664.67 \pm 30.60$

$\displaystyle b=127.63 \pm 3.27$

$\displaystyle c=30.03 \pm 3.40$

---

Belgium

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=1354.62, b0=83.00, c0=26.74
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1453.72 \pm 51.82$

$\displaystyle b=78.87 \pm 0.64$

$\displaystyle c=21.91 \pm 0.90$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=261.50, b0=78.00, c0=17.77
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=295.08 \pm 11.83$

$\displaystyle b=83.02 \pm 0.56$

$\displaystyle c=17.05 \pm 0.79$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=402.12, b0=76.00, c0=21.89
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=356.52 \pm 18.08$

$\displaystyle b=84.49 \pm 1.04$

$\displaystyle c=25.25 \pm 1.48$

---

Brazil

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=16513.62, b0=128.00, c0=33.86
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=64588.14 \pm 43872.51$

$\displaystyle b=183.08 \pm 30.32$

$\displaystyle c=54.48 \pm 12.14$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=969.50, b0=133.00, c0=28.21
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1126.98 \pm 82.58$

$\displaystyle b=138.22 \pm 5.24$

$\displaystyle c=39.67 \pm 3.97$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=10289.50, b0=133.00, c0=28.56
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=10289.50 \pm 5144.75$

$\displaystyle b=133.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=28.56 \pm 1.00$

---

Canada

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=1588.62, b0=73.00, c0=25.24
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1750.91 \pm 52.40$

$\displaystyle b=95.15 \pm 0.83$

$\displaystyle c=33.06 \pm 1.27$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=168.88, b0=84.00, c0=19.58
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=165.81 \pm 6.15$

$\displaystyle b=102.80 \pm 0.91$

$\displaystyle c=28.60 \pm 1.41$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1088.50, b0=95.00, c0=28.61
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1037.04 \pm 33.45$

$\displaystyle b=105.80 \pm 1.02$

$\displaystyle c=32.84 \pm 1.61$

---

Chile

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=3964.00, b0=130.00, c0=32.34
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4900.39 \pm 234.80$

$\displaystyle b=136.45 \pm 2.55$

$\displaystyle c=28.89 \pm 1.96$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=45.00, b0=132.00, c0=26.27
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=45.00 \pm 22.50$

$\displaystyle b=132.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=26.27 \pm 1.00$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1422.00, b0=125.00, c0=25.53
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1422.00 \pm 711.00$

$\displaystyle b=125.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=25.53 \pm 1.00$

---

China

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=2034.75, b0=21.00, c0=7.42
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4259.10 \pm 392.84$

$\displaystyle b=17.31 \pm 0.80$

$\displaystyle c=10.69 \pm 1.15$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=102.88, b0=85.00, c0=30.05
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=120.72 \pm 32.88$

$\displaystyle b=22.99 \pm 3.30$

$\displaystyle c=14.87 \pm 4.77$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1739.38, b0=30.00, c0=10.61
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2521.36 \pm 85.37$

$\displaystyle b=36.80 \pm 0.47$

$\displaystyle c=16.94 \pm 0.66$

---

Ecuador

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=937.50, b0=92.00, c0=23.37
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4323.13 \pm 822.99$

$\displaystyle b=92.00 \pm 0.53$

$\displaystyle c=0.56 \pm 0.30$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=94.25, b0=108.00, c0=23.76
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=104.75 \pm 12.83$

$\displaystyle b=106.91 \pm 1.78$

$\displaystyle c=17.78 \pm 2.59$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=417.00, b0=123.00, c0=24.80
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=417.00 \pm 208.50$

$\displaystyle b=123.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=24.80 \pm 1.00$

---

France

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=3943.50, b0=80.00, c0=28.07
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5893.42 \pm 628.46$

$\displaystyle b=76.18 \pm 1.44$

$\displaystyle c=16.57 \pm 2.04$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=745.00, b0=83.00, c0=24.35
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=901.19 \pm 40.80$

$\displaystyle b=78.65 \pm 0.62$

$\displaystyle c=16.64 \pm 0.87$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1575.00, b0=59.00, c0=17.77
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1402.01 \pm 79.60$

$\displaystyle b=85.07 \pm 1.31$

$\displaystyle c=28.34 \pm 1.88$

---

Germany

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=4307.00, b0=64.00, c0=21.96
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5429.54 \pm 183.42$

$\displaystyle b=69.76 \pm 0.47$

$\displaystyle c=17.17 \pm 0.67$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=218.50, b0=83.00, c0=19.35
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=224.52 \pm 12.30$

$\displaystyle b=84.63 \pm 0.94$

$\displaystyle c=21.08 \pm 1.33$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=3950.00, b0=76.00, c0=22.69
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4127.55 \pm 253.78$

$\displaystyle b=84.93 \pm 1.13$

$\displaystyle c=22.50 \pm 1.60$

---

India

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=6414.00, b0=133.00, c0=44.58
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=22060.40 \pm 5425.82$

$\displaystyle b=186.45 \pm 11.82$

$\displaystyle c=58.46 \pm 4.74$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=173.50, b0=133.00, c0=30.30
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=619.21 \pm 324.10$

$\displaystyle b=198.07 \pm 27.98$

$\displaystyle c=67.45 \pm 10.86$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=3327.62, b0=127.00, c0=36.92
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5066.40 \pm 672.93$

$\displaystyle b=137.49 \pm 6.54$

$\displaystyle c=28.17 \pm 4.85$

---

Iran

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=2549.00, b0=133.00, c0=37.62
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2124.60 \pm 129.17$

$\displaystyle b=123.20 \pm 12.19$

$\displaystyle c=81.02 \pm 12.36$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=133.88, b0=72.00, c0=20.36
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=127.66 \pm 4.73$

$\displaystyle b=75.66 \pm 1.08$

$\displaystyle c=35.66 \pm 1.55$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=2141.75, b0=79.00, c0=20.90
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1839.87 \pm 117.50$

$\displaystyle b=101.27 \pm 3.76$

$\displaystyle c=49.51 \pm 5.66$

---

Italy

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=4687.50, b0=58.00, c0=19.29
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5030.70 \pm 138.51$

$\displaystyle b=69.47 \pm 0.58$

$\displaystyle c=25.63 \pm 0.81$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=651.00, b0=64.00, c0=17.77
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=710.00 \pm 20.48$

$\displaystyle b=73.52 \pm 0.62$

$\displaystyle c=26.12 \pm 0.87$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=2747.00, b0=104.00, c0=28.60
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2884.83 \pm 130.19$

$\displaystyle b=104.61 \pm 1.67$

$\displaystyle c=36.69 \pm 2.62$

---

Mexico

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=2856.50, b0=133.00, c0=34.48
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4634.64 \pm 483.85$

$\displaystyle b=154.99 \pm 6.24$

$\displaystyle c=48.78 \pm 3.54$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=367.50, b0=132.00, c0=27.31
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=367.50 \pm 183.75$

$\displaystyle b=132.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=27.31 \pm 1.00$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=2815.88, b0=93.00, c0=23.14
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2815.88 \pm 1407.94$

$\displaystyle b=93.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=23.14 \pm 1.00$

---

Netherlands

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=1067.00, b0=78.00, c0=20.43
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1136.41 \pm 29.05$

$\displaystyle b=76.94 \pm 0.47$

$\displaystyle c=22.42 \pm 0.66$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=144.12, b0=75.00, c0=18.07
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=147.50 \pm 5.43$

$\displaystyle b=80.97 \pm 0.68$

$\displaystyle c=22.76 \pm 0.97$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=8.62, b0=90.00, c0=17.44
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5.12 \pm 0.80$

$\displaystyle b=89.15 \pm 2.45$

$\displaystyle c=19.16 \pm 3.46$

---

Pakistan

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=2189.38, b0=133.00, c0=35.18
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2189.38 \pm 1094.69$

$\displaystyle b=133.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=35.18 \pm 1.00$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=48.88, b0=129.00, c0=26.69
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=48.88 \pm 24.44$

$\displaystyle b=129.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=26.69 \pm 1.00$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1057.00, b0=127.00, c0=29.93
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=14591.75 \pm 62482.78$

$\displaystyle b=241.21 \pm 174.42$

$\displaystyle c=71.41 \pm 49.43$

---

Peru

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=4357.75, b0=132.00, c0=31.80
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=6142.58 \pm 896.47$

$\displaystyle b=143.49 \pm 10.43$

$\displaystyle c=45.29 \pm 7.19$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=131.00, b0=132.00, c0=26.96
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=137.23 \pm 5.93$

$\displaystyle b=128.90 \pm 3.73$

$\displaystyle c=36.72 \pm 3.61$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=3043.25, b0=117.00, c0=24.82
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2553.98 \pm 219.64$

$\displaystyle b=129.43 \pm 5.68$

$\displaystyle c=27.89 \pm 5.61$

---

Qatar

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=1645.25, b0=128.00, c0=32.85
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1833.24 \pm 45.16$

$\displaystyle b=131.89 \pm 2.03$

$\displaystyle c=37.41 \pm 1.81$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=2.75, b0=123.00, c0=22.55
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2.47 \pm 0.19$

$\displaystyle b=125.69 \pm 0.54$

$\displaystyle c=7.86 \pm 0.86$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=1377.50, b0=128.00, c0=28.16
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=1377.50 \pm 688.75$

$\displaystyle b=128.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=28.16 \pm 1.00$

---

Russia

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=10014.50, b0=109.00, c0=36.25
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=10581.58 \pm 143.27$

$\displaystyle b=113.90 \pm 0.44$

$\displaystyle c=28.58 \pm 0.67$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=153.75, b0=127.00, c0=26.28
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=188.63 \pm 15.51$

$\displaystyle b=144.84 \pm 5.68$

$\displaystyle c=45.42 \pm 3.81$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=7494.50, b0=124.00, c0=37.35
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=8255.51 \pm 283.47$

$\displaystyle b=128.65 \pm 1.80$

$\displaystyle c=22.26 \pm 1.91$

---

Saudi Arabia

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=2171.00, b0=114.00, c0=28.66
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2277.52 \pm 33.35$

$\displaystyle b=117.79 \pm 0.64$

$\displaystyle c=29.79 \pm 0.89$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=14.38, b0=133.00, c0=25.78
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=14.38 \pm 7.19$

$\displaystyle b=133.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=25.78 \pm 1.00$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=2482.50, b0=129.00, c0=29.73
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2722.53 \pm 74.23$

$\displaystyle b=121.38 \pm 0.49$

$\displaystyle c=16.60 \pm 0.75$

---

Spain

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=6811.62, b0=62.00, c0=20.46
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=7350.50 \pm 397.72$

$\displaystyle b=70.05 \pm 0.75$

$\displaystyle c=16.87 \pm 1.05$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=721.62, b0=70.00, c0=17.42
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=766.14 \pm 52.45$

$\displaystyle b=73.99 \pm 1.11$

$\displaystyle c=19.82 \pm 1.57$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=3770.00, b0=97.00, c0=28.45
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=3366.18 \pm 184.03$

$\displaystyle b=85.86 \pm 1.19$

$\displaystyle c=26.59 \pm 1.69$

---

Sweden

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=690.12, b0=132.00, c0=43.90
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=662.80 \pm 36.36$

$\displaystyle b=120.84 \pm 7.80$

$\displaystyle c=60.16 \pm 8.25$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=113.62, b0=89.00, c0=20.28
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=88.10 \pm 6.28$

$\displaystyle b=96.40 \pm 1.87$

$\displaystyle c=31.41 \pm 2.85$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=897.00, b0=102.00, c0=23.77
ERROR: Optimal parameters not found: The maximum number of function evaluations is exceeded.
--> force guessed p0
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=897.00 \pm 448.50$

$\displaystyle b=102.00 \pm 1.00$

$\displaystyle c=23.77 \pm 1.00$

---

Turkey

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=4059.75, b0=79.00, c0=18.00
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4114.32 \pm 120.22$

$\displaystyle b=84.99 \pm 0.52$

$\displaystyle c=21.73 \pm 0.73$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=107.50, b0=87.00, c0=18.46
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=113.53 \pm 2.37$

$\displaystyle b=88.90 \pm 0.38$

$\displaystyle c=22.55 \pm 0.54$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=4683.75, b0=97.00, c0=18.54
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=4699.68 \pm 113.99$

$\displaystyle b=101.24 \pm 0.29$

$\displaystyle c=14.74 \pm 0.41$

---

US

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=29722.50, b0=92.00, c0=32.29
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=31047.19 \pm 863.36$

$\displaystyle b=96.04 \pm 0.94$

$\displaystyle c=38.38 \pm 1.49$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=2150.12, b0=97.00, c0=24.90
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=2115.81 \pm 69.12$

$\displaystyle b=94.27 \pm 0.82$

$\displaystyle c=30.56 \pm 1.23$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=12025.75, b0=120.00, c0=37.08
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=11491.17 \pm 1706.74$

$\displaystyle b=130.00 \pm 15.15$

$\displaystyle c=44.78 \pm 13.97$

---

United Kingdom

-> CONFIRMED, guessed p0: a0=5271.25, b0=78.00, c0=25.94
CONFIRMED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=5447.22 \pm 154.83$

$\displaystyle b=91.90 \pm 0.72$

$\displaystyle c=30.77 \pm 1.06$

-> DEATHS, guessed p0: a0=847.00, b0=89.00, c0=21.44
DEATHS CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=876.34 \pm 34.76$

$\displaystyle b=88.00 \pm 0.83$

$\displaystyle c=25.53 \pm 1.18$

-> RECOVERED, guessed p0: a0=36.25, b0=78.00, c0=23.49
RECOVERED CURVE NO ERROR

$\displaystyle a=23.88 \pm 8.12$

$\displaystyle b=89.28 \pm 8.05$

$\displaystyle c=29.02 \pm 11.68$

---